Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.2% vs 56.9%). Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 60.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 61.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Tierney
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tierney
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
57.4% (1,010)
-0.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.2% (331)
-56.2%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
54.5% (110)
+9.8%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Tierney
Draisaitl
Home
62.3% (77)
56.4% (734)
Away
53.8% (117)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Tierney
Draisaitl
P1
61.1%
55.6%
P2
60.0%
62.1%
P3
49.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |