Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.4%). Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Couture 47.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 51.9%
Defensive zone
Couture 52.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Tierney
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Couture
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.2% (1,083)
-2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
56.7% (60)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
35.4% (206)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Tierney
Couture
Home
47.9% (121)
49.6% (713)
Away
46.1% (115)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Tierney
Couture
P1
44.1%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Logan Couture |