Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 59.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs Jankowski 50.2% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 76.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 64.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 63.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Tierney
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Tierney
Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Tierney
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
49.3% (134)
+7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
37.5% (8)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
61.9% (21)
+2.4%
On power play, Jankowski has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Tierney is 59.7% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Tierney shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Tierney
Jankowski
Home
62.3% (77)
54.2% (72)
Away
53.8% (117)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Tierney
Jankowski
P1
61.1%
54.2%
P2
60.0%
42.4%
P3
49.1%
55.4%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |