Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Barzal 42.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 87.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 85.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 88.3%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 87.7%
12.3%
87.7%
Tierney
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Tierney
Barzal
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
3
Tierney
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Tierney
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
4
Tierney
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
40.7% (514)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
58.3% (24)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
50.0% (10)
+1.1%
On even strength, Tierney has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Tierney
Barzal
Home
48.6% (552)
43.0% (279)
Away
54.3% (466)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Tierney
Barzal
P1
51.3%
41.2%
P2
46.5%
46.4%
P3
55.3%
37.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |