Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 94.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 89.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 91.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 92.1%
7.9%
92.1%
Tierney
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
16
(21 meetings)
5
16
Tierney
Barzal
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
5
Tierney
Barzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
4
Tierney
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
7
Tierney
Barzal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
41.9% (3,565)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
43.4% (205)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
42.3% (26)
+4.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Tierney
Barzal
Home
50.6% (3,270)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Tierney
Barzal
P1
49.3%
40.7%
P2
47.7%
44.4%
P3
50.5%
41.0%
OT
47.4%
27.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 28, 2018 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |