Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.7%). Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Latta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Latta 49.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Latta 51.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 53.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Tierney
Latta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Tierney
Latta
Last 7: Tierney 4-3 Latta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Latta
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Latta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Latta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Latta
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.2% (625)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
36.4% (11)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
33.3% (12)
+13.3%
On power play, Tierney has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Latta shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Latta is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Tierney
Latta
Home
50.6% (3,270)
51.3% (345)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.9% (303)
By Period
Tierney
Latta
P1
49.3%
46.3%
P2
47.7%
52.5%
P3
50.5%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Michael Latta |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Michael Latta |