Chris Tierney vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs McCarron 52.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Tierney
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Tierney
McCarron
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Tierney
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
3
Tierney
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.4% (2,901)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
45.3% (86)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
50.5% (463)
-3.9%
On power play, Tierney has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Tierney
McCarron
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Tierney
McCarron
P1
49.3%
53.9%
P2
47.7%
52.5%
P3
50.5%
52.0%
OT
47.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |