Chris Tierney vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 54.8% vs McCarron 52.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 52.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 60.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Tierney
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tierney
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Tierney
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (179)
54.5% (618)
+2.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.1% (19)
-42.1%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
35.3% (34)
+29.0%
On power play, McCarron has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Tierney is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Tierney shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Tierney
McCarron
Home
62.3% (77)
52.2% (339)
Away
53.8% (117)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Tierney
McCarron
P1
61.1%
53.5%
P2
60.0%
50.6%
P3
49.1%
55.9%
Final 5 min
62.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
57.2%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:45 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |