Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 53.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 50.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 52.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Tierney
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tierney
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Tierney
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
50.1% (1,051)
-3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
58.3% (120)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
41.9% (227)
+5.6%
On power play, Tierney has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Tierney
Zibanejad
Home
47.9% (121)
49.0% (681)
Away
46.1% (115)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Tierney
Zibanejad
P1
44.1%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
47.6%
P3
46.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |