Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 51.8%
Neutral zone
Koivu 64.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Tierney
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Tierney
Koivu
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
6
Tierney
Koivu
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
3
Tierney
Koivu
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
6
Tierney
Koivu
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
58.6% (2,100)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.3%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Tierney
Koivu
Home
50.6% (3,270)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Tierney
Koivu
P1
49.3%
53.5%
P2
47.7%
54.6%
P3
50.5%
54.0%
OT
47.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |