Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 56.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Tierney
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Tierney
Bjugstad
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
4
Tierney
Bjugstad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Tierney
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
48.6% (6,634)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
55.2% (829)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
44.3% (614)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bjugstad
Home
50.6% (3,270)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Tierney
Bjugstad
P1
49.3%
49.0%
P2
47.7%
49.1%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
47.4%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:23 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:56 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |