Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.8%). Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Tierney 61.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.1%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.0%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Tierney
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.4% (867)
-2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
56.0% (25)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
40.7% (216)
+6.8%
On power play, Tierney has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bjugstad
Home
47.9% (121)
46.5% (480)
Away
46.1% (115)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Tierney
Bjugstad
P1
44.1%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
45.6%
P3
46.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%