Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tierney
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Tierney
Bonino
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
4
Tierney
Bonino
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
3
Tierney
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Tierney
Bonino
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.6% (8,315)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
54.1% (972)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bonino
Home
50.6% (3,270)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Tierney
Bonino
P1
49.3%
50.6%
P2
47.7%
48.5%
P3
50.5%
51.1%
OT
47.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 15:23 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |