Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 62.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Tierney
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Tierney
Bonino
Last 8: Tierney 3-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Tierney
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Tierney
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
51.7% (777)
-1.3%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
60.0% (50)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.9% (98)
-7.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bonino
Home
53.3% (289)
48.2% (461)
Away
45.5% (242)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Tierney
Bonino
P1
50.9%
54.1%
P2
46.7%
49.7%
P3
52.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
44.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |