Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Bonino 53.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 68.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 54.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Tierney
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Bonino
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Tierney
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
56.4% (771)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
60.0% (30)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
43.8% (169)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Tierney shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Tierney
Bonino
Home
52.6% (483)
56.5% (531)
Away
49.5% (473)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Tierney
Bonino
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
47.4%
48.1%
P3
54.1%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
52.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |