Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 71.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 95.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 88.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Tierney
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tierney
Schmaltz
Last 8: Tierney 6-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
39.5% (658)
+10.6%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
41.3% (92)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
45.1% (51)
+11.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tierney is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Tierney shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Tierney
Schmaltz
Home
52.6% (483)
40.8% (424)
Away
49.5% (473)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Tierney
Schmaltz
P1
51.9%
38.4%
P2
47.4%
40.7%
P3
54.1%
41.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |