Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 58.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 96.9%
Neutral zone
Tierney 87.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Tierney
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Tierney
Schmaltz
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Tierney
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
1
Tierney
Schmaltz
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
3
Tierney
Schmaltz
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
41.2% (3,399)
+8.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
47.1% (649)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.8% (134)
-1.2%
On even strength, Tierney has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Tierney
Schmaltz
Home
50.6% (3,270)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Tierney
Schmaltz
P1
49.3%
41.1%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
50.5%
43.0%
OT
47.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 09:15 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |