Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 85.5%
Neutral zone
Tierney 67.5%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Tierney
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Tierney
Schmaltz
Last 9: Tierney 5-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Tierney
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
41.7% (338)
+9.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
47.1% (34)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
75.0% (4)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Tierney
Schmaltz
Home
48.6% (552)
48.2% (166)
Away
54.3% (466)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Tierney
Schmaltz
P1
51.3%
42.1%
P2
46.5%
45.8%
P3
55.3%
41.4%
OT
60.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |