Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Acciari 51.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 71.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 69.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Tierney
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Tierney
Acciari
Last 10: Tierney 5-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Tierney
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Tierney
Acciari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
53.1% (3,185)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
50.7% (71)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
46.8% (999)
-0.2%
On even strength, Acciari has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Acciari is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,113).
Home / Away
Tierney
Acciari
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.4% (2,033)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
50.8% (2,222)
By Period
Tierney
Acciari
P1
49.3%
52.1%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
51.0%
OT
47.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 07:03 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |