Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Acciari 53.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.8%
Defensive zone
Acciari 51.1%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.0%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Tierney
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tierney
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Tierney
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
54.5% (532)
-7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.5% (8)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
48.8% (86)
-1.3%
On even strength, Acciari has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Tierney
Acciari
Home
47.9% (121)
56.2% (281)
Away
46.1% (115)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Tierney
Acciari
P1
44.1%
53.4%
P2
50.0%
57.1%
P3
46.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |