Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Kesler 52.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 63.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 57.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Tierney
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Tierney
Kesler
Last 5: Tierney 5-0 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
55.2% (567)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
54.9% (51)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
45.0% (131)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Tierney is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Tierney shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Tierney
Kesler
Home
52.6% (483)
55.7% (388)
Away
49.5% (473)
50.8% (362)
By Period
Tierney
Kesler
P1
51.9%
56.3%
P2
47.4%
52.5%
P3
54.1%
52.6%
OT
66.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
47.7%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |