Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 66.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 55.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 65.1%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Tierney
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
15
(32 meetings)
17
15
Tierney
Kesler
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
9
5
Tierney
Kesler
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
7
6
Tierney
Kesler
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Tierney
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
56.4% (8,095)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Tierney
Kesler
Home
50.6% (3,270)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Tierney
Kesler
P1
49.3%
56.5%
P2
47.7%
55.9%
P3
50.5%
56.1%
OT
47.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |