Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 88.1%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 73.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 79.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Tierney
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Tierney
Reinhart
Last 10: Tierney 1-9 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
10
Tierney
Reinhart
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Reinhart
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
42.5% (2,168)
+6.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
46.6% (519)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
41.4% (338)
+5.2%
On even strength, Tierney has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Reinhart is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,276).
Home / Away
Tierney
Reinhart
Home
50.6% (3,270)
44.9% (1,519)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
41.3% (1,506)
By Period
Tierney
Reinhart
P1
49.3%
44.5%
P2
47.7%
40.4%
P3
50.5%
44.6%
OT
47.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 28, 2020 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |