Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 63.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 55.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Tierney
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Tierney
Reinhart
Last 6: Tierney 0-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
4
Tierney
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Tierney
Reinhart
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
Tierney
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.4% (259)
-2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.4% (136)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
47.9% (71)
-0.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Tierney
Reinhart
Home
47.9% (121)
54.9% (235)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Tierney
Reinhart
P1
44.1%
52.3%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:01 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |