Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Steel 50.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 59.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 53.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tierney
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tierney
Steel
Last 7: Tierney 6-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
62.6% (179)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
37.4% (254)
+9.2%
On power play, Steel has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Tierney
Steel
Home
50.6% (3,270)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Tierney
Steel
P1
49.3%
51.9%
P2
47.7%
49.5%
P3
50.5%
49.6%
OT
47.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |