Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Steel 48.8% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Steel 63.8%
Defensive zone
Tierney 65.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Tierney
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.5% (553)
-2.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.3% (31)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
30.6% (49)
+16.9%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Tierney
Steel
Home
47.9% (121)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.1% (115)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Tierney
Steel
P1
44.1%
52.1%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
46.3%
45.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%