Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 55-53 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 73.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Tierney
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
55
(108 meetings)
53
55
Tierney
Monahan
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
31
Tierney
Monahan
38 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
27
7
Tierney
Monahan
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
19
17
Tierney
Monahan
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
51.1% (11,356)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
53.7% (2,580)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
46.0% (766)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Tierney
Monahan
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Tierney
Monahan
P1
49.3%
50.9%
P2
47.7%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
51.0%
OT
47.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | OT | 03:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |