Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 79.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 61.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Tierney
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Tierney
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Tierney
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Tierney
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (454)
51.5% (641)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.3% (58)
62.8% (129)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
33.3% (9)
+3.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Tierney shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Tierney
Monahan
Home
53.3% (289)
53.9% (362)
Away
45.5% (242)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Tierney
Monahan
P1
50.9%
48.0%
P2
46.7%
57.0%
P3
52.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |