Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Tierney wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Monahan 49.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 84.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 58.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Tierney
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Tierney
Monahan
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
13
Tierney
Monahan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
8
3
Tierney
Monahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
3
Tierney
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
46.4% (532)
+0.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
59.1% (132)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
50.0% (30)
-11.7%
On power play, Tierney has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Tierney shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Tierney
Monahan
Home
49.3% (286)
49.0% (355)
Away
42.1% (304)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Tierney
Monahan
P1
48.5%
49.8%
P2
41.1%
46.6%
P3
48.1%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| May 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | OT | 03:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |