Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.8% vs Aho 48.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 59.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 88.8%
Neutral zone
Tierney 76.6%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Tierney
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Tierney
Aho
Last 10: Tierney 8-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Tierney
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (844)
47.4% (953)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
58.0% (174)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
41.6% (77)
+1.1%
On power play, Aho has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tierney is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Tierney shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Tierney
Aho
Home
51.2% (521)
50.2% (609)
Away
50.6% (522)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Tierney
Aho
P1
49.3%
48.7%
P2
50.4%
50.2%
P3
53.4%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |