Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Aho 51.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 73.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 52.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Tierney
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
13
(25 meetings)
12
13
Tierney
Aho
Last 10: Tierney 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
9
Tierney
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
2
Tierney
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
2
Tierney
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
50.1% (6,415)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
59.1% (1,297)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
46.0% (446)
+0.6%
On power play, Aho has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Tierney
Aho
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Tierney
Aho
P1
49.3%
51.2%
P2
47.7%
52.1%
P3
50.5%
50.8%
OT
47.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |