Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Tierney wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Crosby 52.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 54.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 86.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.8%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Tierney
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Tierney
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Tierney
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Tierney
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Tierney
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
52.5% (1,443)
-5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.7% (369)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
55.9% (34)
-8.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Tierney shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Tierney
Crosby
Home
47.9% (121)
53.0% (931)
Away
46.1% (115)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Tierney
Crosby
P1
44.1%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
46.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |