Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Oshie 50.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 88.1%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 66.5%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Tierney
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tierney
Oshie
Last 5: Tierney 1-4 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Tierney
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
51.7% (58)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
49.1% (169)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
54.5% (11)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Tierney is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Tierney shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Tierney
Oshie
Home
48.6% (552)
51.3% (113)
Away
54.3% (466)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Tierney
Oshie
P1
51.3%
53.8%
P2
46.5%
47.5%
P3
55.3%
51.2%
OT
60.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |