Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Tierney wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Oshie 46.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 94.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 69.5%
Neutral zone
Oshie 69.1%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Tierney
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Tierney
Oshie
Last 10: Tierney 3-7 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
7
Tierney
Oshie
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
1
Tierney
Oshie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
45.2% (764)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
47.7% (1,221)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
40.2% (164)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Tierney shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Tierney
Oshie
Home
50.6% (3,270)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Tierney
Oshie
P1
49.3%
47.3%
P2
47.7%
45.2%
P3
50.5%
46.7%
OT
47.4%
40.8%
Final 5 min
46.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |