Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 45.2% vs Smith 51.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 87.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 80.2%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Tierney
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tierney
Smith
Last 6: Tierney 6-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (321)
53.7% (449)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
43.1% (102)
-3.1%
On power play, Smith has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Tierney shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Tierney
Smith
Home
46.5% (127)
55.0% (280)
Away
42.3% (215)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Tierney
Smith
P1
42.7%
52.3%
P2
39.2%
52.1%
P3
48.8%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |