Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Smith 48.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 72.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 75.1%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Tierney
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tierney
Smith
Last 6: Tierney 6-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
0
Tierney
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
49.0% (769)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
63.6% (22)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
42.4% (118)
+4.2%
On power play, Smith has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Tierney
Smith
Home
50.6% (3,270)
52.4% (490)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Tierney
Smith
P1
49.3%
46.9%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
50.5%
47.7%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 14:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |