Scouting Report
Rod Pelley holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pelley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
VandeVelde 47.4% vs Pelley 51.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
VandeVelde 72.0%
Defensive zone
VandeVelde 53.4%
Neutral zone
VandeVelde 51.9%
Result
Chris VandeVelde favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
VandeVelde
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
VandeVelde
Pelley
Last 8: VandeVelde 3-5 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
VandeVelde
Pelley
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
VandeVelde
Pelley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
2
VandeVelde
Pelley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
VandeVelde
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (314)
51.4% (440)
-4.6%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
25.0% (8)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (63)
50.8% (118)
-9.5%
On power play, VandeVelde has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. VandeVelde is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (265).
VandeVelde shoots left. Pelley is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
VandeVelde
Pelley
Home
50.5% (182)
52.9% (221)
Away
43.6% (220)
50.1% (353)
By Period
VandeVelde
Pelley
P1
47.0%
50.8%
P2
47.7%
49.3%
P3
45.4%
53.8%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
VandeVelde
50.0%▲
42.0%
46.8%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Chris VandeVelde |