Chris VandeVelde vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for VandeVelde on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). VandeVelde wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
VandeVelde 47.4% vs Kesler 55.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
VandeVelde 69.0%
Defensive zone
VandeVelde 52.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.5%
Result
Chris VandeVelde favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
VandeVelde
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
VandeVelde
Kesler
Last 9: VandeVelde 4-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
VandeVelde
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: VandeVelde
4
1
VandeVelde
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
VandeVelde
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
VandeVelde
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (314)
56.4% (8,095)
-9.6%
Power Play
62.5% (24)
60.7% (1,437)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (63)
50.5% (1,908)
-9.2%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. VandeVelde is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (137).
VandeVelde shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
VandeVelde
Kesler
Home
50.5% (182)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
43.6% (220)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
VandeVelde
Kesler
P1
47.0%
56.5%
P2
47.7%
55.9%
P3
45.4%
56.1%
OT
40.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
VandeVelde
50.0%▲
42.0%
46.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Chris VandeVelde |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |