Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Wagner 52.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 62.5%
Defensive zone
Tierney 72.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 63.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tierney
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tierney
Wagner
Last 8: Tierney 2-6 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
1
Tierney
Wagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Tierney
Wagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
4
Tierney
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
55.4% (258)
-9.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
0.0% (2)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
35.7% (14)
+8.4%
On power play, Tierney has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Tierney is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Tierney shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Tierney
Wagner
Home
48.5% (394)
56.7% (120)
Away
43.1% (411)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Tierney
Wagner
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
49.0%
53.7%
P3
40.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:30 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |