Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.1%). Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Lazar 49.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 54.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Wagner
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Wagner
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
2
Wagner
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
50.2% (2,658)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
52.3% (65)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
41.9% (415)
+0.1%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Wagner
Lazar
Home
49.8% (817)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
47.9% (753)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Wagner
Lazar
P1
48.6%
48.9%
P2
48.6%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |