Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Legwand 48.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 66.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 69.1%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.7%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Wagner
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wagner
Legwand
Last 5: Wagner 3-2 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Legwand
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
2
Wagner
Legwand
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
47.7% (4,202)
+3.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
55.6% (516)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
41.6% (481)
+0.4%
On power play, Legwand has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Legwand is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,811).
Home / Away
Wagner
Legwand
Home
49.8% (817)
50.2% (2,607)
Away
47.9% (753)
45.6% (2,611)
By Period
Wagner
Legwand
P1
48.6%
49.8%
P2
48.6%
48.0%
P3
49.5%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |