Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Legwand shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Legwand 46.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 63.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 64.0%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Wagner
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wagner
Legwand
Last 5: Wagner 3-2 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Legwand
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
2
Wagner
Legwand
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
46.8% (357)
+8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
40.3% (67)
-4.6%
On power play, Legwand has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Legwand is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Wagner
Legwand
Home
56.7% (120)
46.2% (236)
Away
51.9% (154)
45.5% (191)
By Period
Wagner
Legwand
P1
53.6%
42.3%
P2
53.7%
46.0%
P3
54.9%
51.3%
Final 5 min
62.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | David Legwand |
| Feb 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |