Chris Wagner vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 54.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 62.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 58.0%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Wagner
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Wagner
MacKenzie
Last 10: Wagner 5-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Wagner
MacKenzie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
2
Wagner
MacKenzie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
54.9% (3,660)
-4.1%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
55.9% (102)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
46.7% (1,158)
-4.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Wagner
MacKenzie
Home
49.8% (817)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
47.9% (753)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Wagner
MacKenzie
P1
48.6%
51.9%
P2
48.6%
53.0%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |