Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Dowell 48.8% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Dowell 63.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 64.5%
Neutral zone
Dowell 50.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Wagner
Dowell
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
49.1% (759)
+1.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
38.5% (13)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
46.9% (81)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Dowell has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Dowell is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Wagner
Dowell
Home
49.8% (817)
51.8% (413)
Away
47.9% (753)
45.8% (443)
By Period
Wagner
Dowell
P1
48.6%
50.4%
P2
48.6%
46.6%
P3
49.5%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%