Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — O'Brien shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs O'Brien 47.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 52.9%
Defensive zone
Wagner 62.3%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 53.4%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Wagner
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wagner
O'Brien
Last 5: Wagner 3-2 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
O'Brien
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wagner
O'Brien
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
48.8% (451)
+2.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
62.5% (8)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
41.8% (141)
+0.2%
On power play, O'Brien has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Wagner
O'Brien
Home
49.8% (817)
47.1% (274)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.3% (330)
By Period
Wagner
O'Brien
P1
48.6%
47.2%
P2
48.6%
49.8%
P3
49.5%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |