Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wagner wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.3% vs Draisaitl 51.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 64.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 92.7%
Neutral zone
Wagner 71.9%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Wagner
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wagner
Draisaitl
Last 7: Wagner 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Wagner
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Wagner
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (190)
51.5% (886)
-1.5%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
56.3% (272)
-36.3%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
46.8% (111)
-11.6%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Wagner is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Wagner shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Wagner
Draisaitl
Home
50.0% (134)
54.4% (634)
Away
41.7% (115)
49.8% (635)
By Period
Wagner
Draisaitl
P1
48.8%
53.8%
P2
42.0%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
48.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |