Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.1% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 86.3%
Defensive zone
Wagner 81.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Wagner
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wagner
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Wagner
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (77)
53.7% (923)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (31)
58.6% (29)
-7.0%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Wagner is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Wagner shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Wagner
Draisaitl
Home
46.3% (54)
55.2% (636)
Away
42.6% (54)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Wagner
Draisaitl
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
55.9%
56.6%
P3
30.8%
54.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |