Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Wagner wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 45.2% vs Stajan 50.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 92.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 71.6%
Neutral zone
Wagner 79.0%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Wagner
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Wagner
Stajan
Last 9: Wagner 1-8 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Wagner
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Wagner
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
5
Wagner
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (133)
50.9% (627)
-8.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
47.6% (126)
-11.9%
On power play, Wagner has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wagner is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Wagner shoots right. Stajan is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Wagner
Stajan
Home
36.5% (96)
52.4% (401)
Away
51.9% (52)
47.7% (367)
By Period
Wagner
Stajan
P1
41.3%
56.3%
P2
38.2%
45.5%
P3
46.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
30.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |