Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.4%). Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Stajan 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Stajan leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Wagner 57.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 61.4%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Wagner
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Wagner
Stajan
Last 10: Wagner 3-7 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Wagner
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Wagner
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
3
5
Wagner
Stajan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
43.2% (176)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
46.1% (864)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Wagner
Stajan
Home
49.8% (817)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
47.9% (753)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Wagner
Stajan
P1
48.6%
50.3%
P2
48.6%
48.5%
P3
49.5%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |