Chris Wagner vs Mikhail Grigorenko
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Grigorenko 46.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 66.7%
Defensive zone
Wagner 73.2%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.0%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Wagner
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Wagner
Grigorenko
Last 8: Wagner 5-3 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
2
Wagner
Grigorenko
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
4
0
Wagner
Grigorenko
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Grigorenko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
45.3% (1,033)
+5.5%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.0% (50)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
58.5% (65)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Grigorenko is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Wagner
Grigorenko
Home
49.8% (817)
51.1% (567)
Away
47.9% (753)
42.0% (581)
By Period
Wagner
Grigorenko
P1
48.6%
43.8%
P2
48.6%
47.1%
P3
49.5%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:15 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |